Skip to content
IVX
← Journal

2026-09-29

Micron IV Crush After a Mega-Guide Print

Not financial advice. Verify claims independently.

Wed Sep 30 AMC: how a $50B±1 / $31±1 guide frame changes the crush conversation.

Micron's September 30, 2026 AMC print (call 4:30pm ET) is not a blank-slate event. June's guide — revenue $50B ± $1B, non-GAAP EPS $31 ± $1 — and a prior quarter at $41.5B revenue already set a high bar. Street sits near $50.6–51.1B / $31.3–31.5.

Crush analysis here is about whether residual uncertainty dies with the print. If FY27 Q1 guide and HBM commentary are the real binary, ATM IV can stay sticky even after EPS lands inside the range.

Map the surface tonight: front vs second expiry, put skew, and IV rank vs MU's own history — not vs a calm VIX.

If you want to rehearse the setup before you size it, paper-trade the scenario on Stock Picks.

Not financial advice. Verify claims independently.

Practice

Put the read into a paper book

Rehearse the idea risk-free on Stock Picks — the paper-trading app from the network behind IVX.

Open Stock Picks →